Why Now is the Time to Diversify Markets &
Customers
Charlie Alter
article courtesy of
allbusiness.com
Some might think that the worst time to evaluate and pursue new markets is during a severe recession, such as businesses world-wide are currently experiencing. After all, your sales and profitability are probably down at least 25% during the last year, cash is tight, you're doing more with less and hunkering down trying to survive until this is over. However, forward-looking companies of all sizes are using this time to get Leaner, stronger and develop new products and services that will allow them to penetrate new market segments and find new customers.
If you own or manage a manufacturing firm of any size, you
should be concerned that some of these forward looking companies
may be your competitors, and they want your customers. So what are
your options?
Hunker down and play defense and try to hang onto the customers and
markets you have now, or
be prepared to go on the offense, so that when markets open up
again your company will be
poised to take market share and customers
from your competitors in your existing or in new
markets.
The decision you make will likely define the fate of your company for the next five years or more. This article, and the ones to follow as part of this six-part series, are meant for those company leaders who are prepared to go on the offense and are determined to grow, even in the current difficult economic times.
Our Current Condition
To understand the "current state" as accurately as possible,
the following econometric data from Bank of America / Merrill Lynch
economist David Rosenberg on April 15, 2009 paints the picture of
the reality of the current condition for most US manufacturers:
Small Business Optimism Sinks to a New Low
The NFIB index is a monthly survey of small business sentiment, for
March it declined for the
fourth month in a row to 88.7 from
90.4 in February. The last time it was this low was back in April
1980.
In terms of the top concerns facing small businesses today, 31%
cited "poor sales" while a mere 6%
referenced "inflation."
Small business plans to expand slid to a mere 1% in March and Capex
plans were also trimmed to
their lowest levels since 1975.
At the moment it appears that the only areas left that can possibly
sustain a renewed and
sustainable expansion would seem to be
exports and government spending.
Record Slack Within Manufacturing Sector
Overall capacity utilization dropped from 70.3% in February to
69.3% in March, both rates
surpassing record lows first recording
during the 1980s' recession.
Utilization in the manufacturing sector fell to a historic low (for
the third straight month), to
stand more than 10 ppt below its 5-year
average.
Within the auto sector, utilization remained extremely depressed,
at 42.8% versus 38.3% in
January, when the industry shut down.
Unemployment Rates & History
History tells us that the unemployment rate peaks six months after
the recession ends. If the
unemployment rate peaks "early next year"
as the Fed predicts, it would peg the end of the
recession sometime in the fourth quarter
of 2009.
Rosenberg also found that the unemployment rate peaks seven months
after the bear market
ends. So, again that would peg the bottom
in the S&P 500 some time around September-October
(when most bear markets end).
Growing & Declining Sectors from the Federal Reserve in
April 2009
The Fed's Beige Book offers up some of the timely, on- the-ground
information on the state of the
US economy. The current situation shows
that for every positive sector mention, there were
three negative sectors. The Federal
Reserve analysts were able to pinpoint a handful of sectors
that garnered positive reports and quite a
few more on the negative:
Positive:
Food
production, pharmaceuticals, petrochemicals, defense
equipment, healthcare products.
Negative: Oil and
gas, healthcare services, business
consulting, travel and tourism, agriculture,
commercial real
estate, aerospace, electrical
equipment, shipping/transportation, luxury goods
retailing, restaurants.
What Does This Data Mean?
This data simply confirms what we already know, that the US
and global economy is in the tank and unlikely to improve much in
2009. However, if you believe the Federal Reserve's projection that
the recession will end in late 2009, then 2010 has the potential to
be a decent year for manufacturing and related sectors.
For forward-looking companies, now is the time to make plans for business growth in 2010 and beyond, and finding new markets and new customers should be at the top of the list. Some of the expanding markets listed above may represent short-term opportunities for companies that already have a foot in the door and can marshall their forces to move quickly.
For most companies though, 2009 will be a year to work on your
plans for top-line growth in 2010. This should focus on the
following:
Uncovering new opportunities with your best customers
Learning how to make marginal customers more profitable
Improving existing or developing new products and services for all
markets served
Finding profitable new market segments that your company can
penetrate effectively
Selecting the most profitable customers to serve in these new
market segments
Improving your sales and marketing process to support this strategy
Seeking dependable outside advisors to help your company accelerate
this process
Market Diversification Articles to Come
This will be a six part series of articles on practical
approaches to market diversification. I will provide case studies
of companies that have successfully navigated the path and
diversified their markets, as well as highlight best practices in
MEP centers around the country. The likely topics to be addressed
in the future are:
1. Customer Analysis: Determining your current most valuable
customers, markets, products &
services
2. Demand Iinovation & finding hidden assets to grow
3. Finding specific market segments and target customers for
growth
4. Integrating marketing & sales strategies to produce
results
5. Developing and executing your plan for 2010
What Can You Do Today?
Make the decision today that as a leader of your company you
are committed to grow and diversify your markets and customers.
Understand that it will be a time-consuming process and must be
done accurately and completely to be effective. If you choose to
pursue this path, I recommend that you do the following:
Discuss market diversification as a path to growth with the
management team in your company
and challenge them to develop an effective
plan for 2010 and beyond in 2009.
Form a small cross-functional team internally which will be charged
with developing your
company's plan.
Contact Jack Crane, CONNSTEP's Growth Services Advisor at
800.266.6672.
As a first assignment for the team, answer the following
six questions as completely as possible:
1. Can you identify the best customers to sell to now and in
the future?
2. Do you know which market segments and niches (customer
groups) to focus on now and in the
future?
3. Do you know what kinds of products and services your best
customers want?
4. Can you compare your products to your major competitors'
products in terms of price, delivery,
and key features, model by model?
5. Do you know the specific reasons you are losing orders to
competitors for every known lost order
in the last year?
6. Do you know if you are making adequate margins on each
product line, model, of job?
Best of luck on your journey.
The second article in this six-part series is available now, "The Customer Analysis"